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Ontario general election, 2003


The Ontario general election of 2003 was held on October 2, 2003, to elect the 103 members of the Legislative Assembly (Members of Provincial Parliament, or "MPPs") of the Province of Ontario, Canada.


The election was called on September 2 by Premier Ernie Eves after public opinion polls indicated an increase in support for the governing Ontario Progressive Conservative Party because of the government's handling of the 2003 North American blackout. The election was won, however, by the Ontario Liberal Party, led by Dalton McGuinty.


Contents

Campaign

Conduct of the campaign

Many observers commented on the high level of mudslinging during the campaign, even though all sides had disavowed this tactic during the televised debate. Both the Liberals and Progressive Conservatives (Tories) participated in mudslinging, but it was the Conservative side that initiated many of the more egregious incidents. One bizarre incident took place on September 12, when a press release from the Tories referred to Liberal leader Dalton McGuinty as an "evil reptilian kitten-eater from another planet", which was roundly condemned as a petty and juvenile insult. In another incident towards the end of the campaign, Premier Eves referred to Mr. McGuinty as having a "pointy head," a remark he later conceded was inappropriate. Many observers have commented that the negative tone apparently backfired, creating more sympathy for the Liberal leader.

Another embarrassing Tory gaffe occurred when Eves couldn't say how much his election promises would cost. These gaffes were magnified by a generally unsympathetic media which was poorly treated by the Tory campaign team. An important blow to the Tory campaign was a study by the right-wing Fraser Institute that demonstrated that despite Tory promises, Ontario had a large budgetary deficit.

For its part, the Ontario New Democratic Party (NDP) led a theatrical campaign. Leader Howard Hampton made an appearance in front of the Toronto home of millionaire Peter Munk to denounce Eves' tax breaks, claiming that they would save Munk $18,000 a year. He attempted to nail Jell-O to a wall to dramatize the elusiveness he accused his opponents of regarding hydro privatization. He also used a piece of Swiss cheese to suggest that his opponents' platforms were full of holes. [1]

Another campaign issue was the treatment of the Green Party of Ontario, which denounced a CRTC decision not to allow leader Frank de Jong to participate in the leaders' debate. A Green candidate in Nipissing also alleged that his Tory opponent's campaign had offered him a significant donation in order to ensure that he stayed in the race to divide the opposition vote.

Issues

The campaign was contentious on the issues as well, with both the Liberals and Howard Hampton's New Democrats attacking the Tories' record in office. Various scandals and other unpopular moves reduced public opinion of the Tories going into the race, including the Walkerton water tragedy, the death of Dudley George, the possible sale of publicly-owned electric utility Hydro One, the SARS outbreak, the decision to release the 2003 budget at an auto parts factory instead of the Legislature, the widespread blackout in August, and the Aylmer packing plant tainted meat investigation. [2]. As one Tory insider put it "So many chickens came to roost, its like a remake of The Birds".

One of the most contentious issues was education. All three parties pledged to increase spending by $2 billion, but Premier Eves also pledged to ban teacher strikes, lock-outs, and work-to-rule campaigns during the school year, a move the other parties rejected. Teacher strikes had plagued the previous Progressive Conservative mandate of Mike Harris, whose government had deeply cut education spending.

Tax cuts were also an issue. The Progressive Conservatives proposed a wide range of tax cuts, including a 20-percent cut to personal income taxes, and the elimination of education tax paid by seniors, two moves that would have cost $1.3 billion together. The Liberals and New Democrats rejected these cuts as profligate. The Liberals also promised to cancel some pending Tory tax cuts and to eliminate some tax cuts already introduced.

Assessment

CBC Newsworld declared a Liberal victory minutes after ballot-counting began. Ernie Eves conceded defeat only ninety minutes into the count.

The NDP had a disappointingly confusing election: on one hand, they won one fewer than the eight seats needed to keep "official party status," which would give it a share of official Queen's Park staff, money for research, and guaranteed time during Question Period. On the other hand, they increased their share of the popular vote for the first time since 1990. The party may be in a better position for the next election, given the disillusionment with McGuinty's government and a distaste for a weakened Progressive Conservative party. Despite the mixed results, Hampton stated that he would stay on as party leader, saying that the party did not blame him for the poor performance in an election where voters were apparently more concerned about defeating the Tories by any means necessary than about voting their conscience. The party was returned to official party status seven months into the session, when Andrea Horwath won a by-election in Hamilton East on May 13, 2004.

The Tories were completely shut out of Toronto, where 19 out of 22 ridings were won by the Liberals, and the remaining three were carried by the New Democrats. The Tories also managed to win only one seat in northern Ontario: Ernie Eves' home riding of Perry Sound-Muskoka. Former Premier Mike Harris' old seat went Liberal. Six Tory cabinet ministers were defeated at the polls, though both Eves and NDP leader Howard Hampton retained their seats.

The 38th Parliament of Ontario opened on November 19th, 2003 at 3 P.M. Eastern Time.

Student vote

High School students in every riding in Ontario were allowed to cast ballots in their classrooms as part of a student vote. While their numbers did not count in the official election, they did tell a story all on their own. The student vote reflected change a lot more than the actual result, as well as wide scale anti-conservativism. 93 ridings favoured the liberals in the student vote, 9 favoured the New Democrats, and one favoured the greens, while the Conservatives were shut out.

Results

Party Party Leader # of
candidates
Seats Popular Vote
Previous After % Change # % % Change Liberal Dalton McGuinty 103 36 72 +50% 2,090,001 46.4% +6.6% Progressive Conservative Ernie Eves 103 56 24 -57.1% 1,559,181 34.6% -10.5% New Democratic Howard Hampton 103 9 7 -22.2% 660,730 14.7% +2.1% Green Frank de Jong 102 - - - 126,651 2.8% +2.1% Family Coalition Giuseppe Gori 51 - - - 34,623 0.8% +0.2% Freedom Paul McKeever 24 - - - 8,376 0.2% +0.1% Communist Elizabeth Rowley 6 - - - 2,187 0.05% +0.03% Libertarian Sam Apelbaum 5 - - - 1,991 0.04% -0.06% Confederation of Regions none 1 - - - 293 0.01%   Independent & non-affiliated 24 1 - -100% 13,211 0.3% -0.3%
     Independent Renewal 10 - - - 3,402 - -
     Independent Liberal 1 1 - - 3,259 - -
     Independent Reform 1 - - - 586 - -
     Communist League 1 - - - 204 - -
     Other independent 11 - - - 5,760 - -
  Vacant 1 n/a
Total   103 103 - 4,497,244 100%  

Notes:

1 "Before" refers to the party standings in the Legislature at the end of the legislative session, and not to the standings at the previous election.

2 Richard Butson was the sole candidate for the Confederation of Regions Party.

3Ten candidates ran as "Independent Renewal" candidates. This was the Marxist-Leninist party under another name.

4Candidates from the Independent Reform Party and Communist League also ran as independents.

5Costas Manios ran as an "Independent Liberal" candidate after being denied the opportunity to run for the Liberal Party nomination in Scarborough Centre. Outgoing MPP Claudette Boyer had sat in the house as an "Independent Liberal" from 2001 to 2003.

It is possible that some other candidates listed on the ballot as independents ran for unregistered parties.

The following table gives the number of seats each party won, and the number of ridings in which each party came second, third, and fourth:

Party Seats Second Third Fourth
     Liberal 72 30 1 0
     Progressive Conservative 24 57 22 0
     New Democratic 7 16 78 2
     Green 0 0 2 92

Riding results

|- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Algoma—Manitoulin |bgcolor="lightcoral"| | Mike Brown
14,520 | |Terry McCutcheon
9,459 | |Peter Denley
5,168 | |Ron Yurick
680 | |  |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Mike Brown |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Ancaster—Dundas—Flamborough—Aldershot |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Ted McMeekin
23,045 | |Mark Mullins
18,141 | |Kelly Hayes
5,666 | |Brian Elder Sullivan
903 | |Michael Trolly
(FCP)
434
Richard Butson
(CoR)
293 |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Ted McKeekin |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Barrie—Simcoe—Bradford | |Mike Ramsay
21,998 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Joe Tascona
31,529 | |John Thomson
5,641 | |Stewart Sinclair
1,278 | |Roberto Sales
(FCP)
441 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Joe Tascona |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Beaches—East York | |Monica Purdy
10,070 | |Angela Kennedy
8,157 |bgcolor="sandybrown"| |Michael Prue
21,239 | |Tom Mason
1,995 | |  |bgcolor="sandybrown"| |Michael Prue |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke| Bramalea—Gore—Malton—Springdale |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Kuldip Kular
19,306 | |Raminder Gill
15,549 | |Cesar Martello
4,931 | |Ernst Braendli
1,176 | |Frank Chilelli
(Ind)
868
Howard Cukoff
(Comm)
503 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Raminder Gill |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Brampton Centre |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Linda Jeffrey
16,661 | |Joe Spina
15,656 | |Kathy Pounder
4,827 | |Sanjeev Goel
820 | |Wally Dove
(F)
356 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Joe Spina |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Brampton West—Mississauga |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Vic Dhillon
28,926 | |Tony Clement
26,414 | |Chris Moise
5,103 | |Paul Simas
811 | |Paul Micelli
(FCP)
1,122
John G. Purdy
(F)
266 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Tony Clement |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Brant |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Dave Levac
24,236 | |Alayne Sokoloski
13,618 | |David Noonan
5,262 | |Mike Clancy
1,014 | |John C. Turmel
(Ind)
295 |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Dave Levac |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound | |Dave Hocking
14,881 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Bill Murdoch
23,338 | |Colleen Purdon
4,159 | |Martin Donald
769 | |Linda Freiburger
(FCP)
1,086
Bill Cook
(Ind)
586 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Bill Murdoch |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Burlington | |Mark Fuller
19,654 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Cam Jackson
21,506 | |David Laird
3,832 | |Julie Gordon
1,086 | |Vic Corvaro
(FCP)
523 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Cam Jackson |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Cambridge | |Jerry Boyle
16,559 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Gerry Martiniuk
19,996 | |Pam Wolf
8,513 | |Michael Chownyk
983 | |Al Smith
(FCP)
1,001 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Gerry Martiniuk |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Chatham—Kent—Essex |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Pat Hoy
23,022 | |Dave Wilkinson
11,586 | |Derry McKeever
2,893 | |Jim Burgess
1,069 | |David Rodman
(F)
281 |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Pat Hoy |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Davenport |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Tony Ruprecht
15,586 | |Tom Smith
1,977 | |Jordan Berger
7,243 | |Mark O'Brien
907 | |David Senater
(Ind)
293
Franz Cauchi
(F)
264
Nunzio Venuto
(Lbt)
233 |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Tony Ruprecht |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Don Valley East |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |David Caplan
21,327 | |Paul Sutherland
12,027 | |Murphy Browne
3,058 | |Dan Craig
558 | |Ryan Kidd
(FCP)
460
Wayne Simmons
(F)
119 |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |David Caplan |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Don Valley West |bgcolor="lightcoral"| |Kathleen Wynne
23,488 | |David Turnbull
17,394 | |Ali Naqvi
2,540 | |Phillip Hawkins
1,239 | | |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |David Turnbull |- |bgcolor=whitesmoke|Dufferin—Peel—Wellington—Grey | |Dan Yake
14,859 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Ernie Eves
29,222 | |Mitchel Healey
3,148 | |Frank de Jong
3,161 | |Dave Davies
(FCP)
1,202 |bgcolor="cornflowerblue"| |Ernie Eves |}

Durham :

Eglinton—Lawrence :

  • (x)Mike Colle (L) 23743
  • Corinne Korzen (PC) 12402
  • Robin Alter (NDP) 4351
  • Mark Viitala (G) 1236

Elgin—Middlesex—London :

Erie—Lincoln :

  • (x)Tim Hudak (PC) 20348
  • Vance Badawey (L) 16290
  • Julius Antal (NDP) 3950
  • Tom Ferguson (G) 713
  • Steve Elgersma (FCP) 666

Essex :

Etobicoke Centre:

  • Donna Cansfield (L) 22070
  • Rose Andrachuk (PC) 17610
  • Margaret Anne McHugh (NDP) 3400
  • Ralph M. Chapman (G) 1584

Etobicoke—Lakeshore :

Etobicoke North:

Glengarry—Prescott—Russell :

  • (x)Jean-Marc Lalonde (L) 28956
  • Albert Bourdeau (PC) 10921
  • Guy Belle-Isle (NDP) 2544
  • Louise Pattington (G) 1471

Guelph—Wellington :

Haldimand—Norfolk—Brant :

Haliburton—Victoria—Brock :

Halton:

Hamilton East:

Hamilton Mountain:

Hamilton West:

Hastings—Frontenac—Lennox and Addington :

Huron—Bruce :

Kenora—Rainy River :

  • (x)Howard Hampton (NDP) 15666
  • Geoff McClain (L) 6746
  • Cathe Hoszowski (PC) 3343
  • Dan King (G) 305

Kingston and the Islands :

Kitchener Centre:

Kitchener—Waterloo :

Lambton—Kent—Middlesex :

Lanark—Carleton :

Leeds—Grenville :

London North Centre:

London—Fanshawe :

London West:

Markham :

Mississauga Centre :

Mississauga East :

Mississagua South :

Mississauga West :

Nepean—Carleton :

  • (x)John Baird (PC) 31662
  • Rod Vanier (L) 20878
  • Liam McCarthy (NDP) 3828
  • Matt Takach (G) 2200

Niagara Centre :

  • (x)Peter Kormos (NDP) 23289
  • Henry D'Angela (L) 12526
  • Ann Gronski (PC) 10336
  • Jordan McArthur (G) 768

Niagara Falls :

Nickel Belt:

  • (x)Shelley Martel (NDP) 16567
  • Alex McCauley (L) 13759
  • Dave Kilgour (PC) 4804
  • Robert Nevin (G) 479

Nipissing:

Northumberland:

Oak Ridges :

  • (x)Frank Klees (PC) 32647
  • Helena Jaczek (L) 31026
  • Pamela Courtot (NDP) 4464
  • Steven Haylestrom (G) 1821

Oakville :

Oshawa:

Ottawa Centre:

Ottawa—Orleans :

Ottawa South:

Ottawa—Vanier:

  • Madeleine Meilleur (L) 22188
  • Maurice Lamirande (PC) 10878
  • Joseph Zebrowski (NDP) 6507
  • Raphael Thierrin (G) 1876

Ottawa West—Nepean :

Oxford :

Parkdale—High Park :

Parry Sound—Muskoka :

Perth—Middlesex :

Peterborough:

Pickering—Ajax—Uxbridge :

Prince Edward-Hastings:

Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke :

  • John Yakabuski (PC) 19274
  • Derek Nighbor (L) 18629
  • Felicite Stairs (NDP) 5092
  • Chris Walker (G) 671

Sarnia—Lambton :

Sault Ste. Marie :

Scarborough—Agincourt :

  • (x)Gerry Phillips (L) 23026
  • Yolanda Chan (PC) 11337
  • Stacy Douglas (NDP) 2209
  • Lawrence Arkilander (G) 566
  • Tony Ieraci (FCP) 550

Scarborough Centre:

Scarborough East:

Scarbourgh—Rouge River :

Scarborough Southwest:

Simcoe—Grey :

Simcoe North:

St. Catharines :

St. Paul's:

Stoney Creek :

Stormont—Dundas—Charlottenburgh :

Sudbury:

  • (x)Rick Bartolucci (L) 24631
  • Mila Wong (PC) 5068
  • Harvey Wyers (NDP) 4999
  • Luke Norton (G) 1009

Thornhill :

Thunder Bay—Atikokan :

  • Bill Mauro (L) 17735
  • John Rafferty (NDP) 6582
  • Brian McKinnon (PC) 5365
  • Kristin Boyer (G) 762

Thunder Bay—Superior North :

  • (x)Michael Gravelle (L) 21938
  • Bonnie Satten (NDP) 4548
  • Brent Sylvester (PC) 2912
  • Carl Rose (G) 882

Timiskaming—Cochrane :

  • (x)David Ramsay (L) 18499
  • Rick Brassard (PC) 6330
  • Ben Lefebvre (NDP) 5741
  • Paul Palmer (G) 489

Timmins—James Bay :

  • (x)Gilles Bisson (NDP) 14941
  • Michael Doody (L) 12373
  • Merv Russell (PC) 2527
  • Marsha Kriss (G) 219

Toronto Centre—Rosedale :

Toronto—Danforth :

Trinity—Spadina :

Vaughan—King—Aurora :

  • (x)Greg Sorbara (L) 36928
  • Carmine Iacono (PC) 21744
  • Mike Seaward (NDP) 4697
  • Adrian Visentin (G) 2412

Waterloo—Wellington :

  • (x)Ted Arnott (PC) 22550
  • Deborah Whale (L) 17344
  • Richard Walsh-Bowers (NDP) 3970
  • Allan Strong (G) 1203
  • Gord Truscott (FCP) 978

Whitby—Ajax :

  • (x)Jim Flaherty (PC) 27240
  • Dennis Fox (L) 22593
  • Dan Edwards (NDP) 5155
  • Michael MacDonald (G) 1375

Willowdale:

Windsor—St. Clair :

  • (x)Dwight Duncan (L) 19692
  • Madeline Crnec (NDP) 10433
  • Matt Bufton (PC) 4162
  • Chris Holt (G) 1315
  • Saroj Bains (Ind [Independent Renewal]) 253

Windsor West :

York Centre:

  • (x)Monte Kwinter (L) 18808
  • Dan Cullen (PC) 7862
  • Matthew Norrish (NDP) 3494
  • Constantine Kritsonis (G) 1496

York North:

York South—Weston :

York West:

By-elections since the general election

Hamilton East (called due to the death of Dominic Agostino, March 24, 2004), May 13, 2004:

Unofficial results

Dufferin--Peel--Wellington--Grey (resignation of Ernie Eves, February 1, 2005), March 17, 2005:

Unofficial results

See also

External links

General resources

Parties

Parties with seats in the house prior to dissolution

Other parties

10-26-2009 08:16:03
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