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Applied Mathematics Science Fair Project

Precision and Chaos in Iterative Math

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Precision and Chaos in Iterative Math | Science Fair Projects | STEM Projects
Does rounding a number change whether a math sequence spirals into chaos? Iterative processes repeat the same equation over and over. A tiny change in precision can shift the outcome from a steady pattern to total unpredictability. You use the equation x(n+1) = rx(n)(1-x(n)) in a spreadsheet. You test different values of the constant r from 2.70 to 3.70. For each value you run 26 rounds at precision levels of 2, 3, 4, and 15 decimal places. Some constants produce sequences that settle on one number. Others make the sequence alternate between two values. Still others create chaos with no pattern at all. You discover that for certain constants, just changing the rounding level switches the outcome from alternating to steady.

Hypothesis

The hypothesis is that the constant used will have a great effect on the type of sequence that results, and that precision will have a distinct effect on the outcomes.

Method & Materials

You will compare outcomes for different values of the constant r and different levels of precision for the iterative process x(n+1) = rx(n)(1-x(n)). Each process will be repeated for 26 iterations, starting with x(0) = 0.5.
You will need Microsoft Excel to calculate the iterations.

Results

The experiment revealed that the constant used had a great effect on the type of sequence that resulted, and that precision had a distinct effect on the outcomes. For some constants, changing the level of rounding had such a strong effect that the same sequence would either bifurcate or converge, depending on the precision.

Why do this project?

This science project is so interesting because it reveals how chaos appears in iterative processes with differing levels of precision.

Also Consider

Experiment variations to consider include testing different constants and different levels of precision for the iterative process.

Full project details

Additional information and source material for this project are available below.
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