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Project Title
Energy Enigma

Abstract

Objectives/Goals

My objective was to determine an optimal location for a gas-powered electrical
power plant to help meet the energy shortfall in southern CA by building a
mathematical model using linear programming. I hypothesized that the optimal
location would be centrally located to the major cities of southern CA, those
with the greatest power consumption, because the distribution from this location
would have minimal line
loss.

Methods/Materials

To determine the best location to construct a power plant, I developed a set of
functions in an Excel spreadsheet. I placed a coordinate plane over a map of
southern CA and established nodes within the state boundaries. I determined
whether a given node was within the natural gas pipeline corridor by calculating
linear inequalities to represent the boundaries of the corridor. To find the
distance from a given node to the major cities, I used the distance formula and
weighted the distances by the city populations. I used the weighted distances to
calculate the power loss from a potential plant to
consumers. I used the power loss to calculate a hypothetical sales price,
decreasing this sales price with
increasing power loss. I expressed environmental and property costs by assigning
higher costs to nodes within 50
miles of a major city. I devised an optimizing objective equation that combined
the sales price and
production costs (constraints)
and then used this equation to find the locations (feasible solutions) that
balanced a low production cost
with a high sales price.

Results

The mathematical model shows that the best location to construct a power plant
is about 50 miles east of
Lancaster. Second and third best locations are east of Riverside and
Bakersfield, respectively. I changed
the constraints to approximate hot summer conditions and found that in addition
to the regions above, two
locations closer to LA were also feasible solutions during periods of high
demand.

Conclusions/Discussion

The optimal location for a power plant is not centrally located to the major
cities included in my
experiment, as I hypothesized. The model showed that the best locations are
outside the Clean Air Zones
and areas of high property costs and within the gas corridor, but still close to
the population centers. The
environmental, property, and production costs associated with running a power
plant in the LA basin
shifted the optimal locations further from the major cities than I had
anticipated.

Summary Statement

My project is a mathematical model using linear programming and multiple
constraints to determine an
optimal location for a gas-powered electrical power plant to help meet the
energy shortfall in southern
California.